SIOR New Mexico Chapter Presents at NAIOP & N-I25 Business Association Meetings

The SIOR New Mexico Chapter recently hosted its Industrial and Office Market Update at the November 25th NAIOP luncheon held at the Uptown Marriott hotel. Tim With, Jim Smith and Tom Jenkins were the presenters at this year's event. Click Here to download a copy of their powerpoint presentation.


Key Presentation Points

  1. Industrial vacancies Albuquerque-wide now are about 9%, with large variations in 
    submarkets
  2. Unemployment rates are dropping but vacancy rates are staying the same or 
    increasing
  3. Class A office space is starting to recover because lessees are trading up, while the 
    price and vacancy delta between Class A and Class B spaces is widening.
  4. There appears to be an undersupply of high quality space and newer industrial 
    space.
  5. Albuquerque's Central Business District (downtown) has the highest vacancy rate 
    in the country, although with smaller square footages than many cities.
  6. When Gap leaves downtown in late 2014, the CBD will have a 65% occupancy 
    rate unless some other tenant moves downtown.
  7. Of the top 10 real estate projects recorded in 2013, only one was new 
    construction.
  8. The negative trend of tenants moving out seems to have hit bottom.
  9. For industrial space, tenants are looking for 24-foot and higher ceiling heights, 
    high pressure (ESFR) fire suppression systems, and a trailer parking to dock 
    door ratios of 2 or 3 to 1. Most older spaces do not meet these requirements.
  10. Unknown if the move to building ownership from leasing will continue as the 
    economy strengthens.
  11. Possible that lease rates for desirable properties could be as much as 20% 
    higher.
  12. Predicting a 3 to 4% growth in rental rates annually.
  13. Infrastructure/utility limitations in some areas, particularly South I-25, could push 
    down land prices and growth in the industrial sector.
  14. The pattern of office use has changed -- no more atrium lobbies, marble entries, 
    and large executive offices.
  • Trend for office space now is high density - 500 people in a 100,000 square foot building 
    that previously housed 300.
  • Increased density has impacts for restroom facilities, HVAC capacity.
  • Of the 14.1 million square feet of office space in Albuquerque, the higher quality 
    office space is found:
    • 34% North I-25 area
    • 21% Uptown
    • 1% Downtown
  1. Why consider new development of high quality space?
    • he market currently has a limited amount of the higher quality space 
      many tenants require
    • Because other high quality spaces have been absorbed, there are fewer high quality spaces available
    • Companies looking to relocate here will require multiple space options with large floor plates.
  2. Predictions for the office sector:     
    • Office users will continue to migrate to high quality space
    • Rental gaps will increase between Class A, B, and C spaces
    • We will see redevelopment and repurposing of existing spaces
    • At least two new, substantial office buildings will be developed in the near future.